RP

Ron Paul

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About

Ron Paul is a former Texas congressman, physician, and three-time presidential candidate known for his strict constitutional libertarian views, opposition to the Federal Reserve, and non-interventionist foreign policy.

36
Total Predictions
28
Resolved
71.4%
Accuracy Rate
17
Correct
Prediction History
Economy will experience Venezuela-style runaway inflation and currency destruction
Predicted: December 10, 2024
Due: December 31, 2030
Unresolved

Source: https://www.itmtrading.com/blog/ron-paul-reveals-top-threat-in-2025-why-he-fears-this-will-end-horribly/

Negative interest rates will come to United States
Predicted: July 19, 2020
Due: December 31, 2025
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Partially Correct

Source: https://rmegold.com/negative-rates/

Biggest bond bubble in history will burst
Predicted: July 19, 2020
Due: December 31, 2025
Unresolved

Source: https://rmegold.com/negative-rates/

Gold will reach $3000 by end of 2020
Predicted: September 1, 2019
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Incorrect

Source: https://rmegold.com/negative-rates/

Market crash could be worse than 1929
Predicted: December 14, 2018
Due: December 31, 2021
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Incorrect

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/14/ron-paul-market-meltdown-could-spark-depression-like-conditions.html

Stock market bubble is biggest in history of mankind and will pop
Predicted: July 12, 2018
Due: December 31, 2022
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Incorrect

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/13/this-is-the-biggest-bubble-in-the-history-of-mankind-ron-paul.html

Federal Reserve policies will lead to biggest bubble in history of mankind
Predicted: August 17, 2017
Due: December 31, 2025
Unresolved

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/18/ron-paul-50-percent-stock-market-plunge-conceivable.html

Stock market will drop by 50 percent
Predicted: June 29, 2017
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Incorrect

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/18/ron-paul-50-percent-stock-market-plunge-conceivable.html

Biggest economic crash ever will hit American economy when bubbles burst
Predicted: October 3, 2015
Due: December 31, 2025
Unresolved

Source: https://www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2015/10/04/432008/Ron-Paul-economic-crash-US-

Very big crash will occur when investors lose confidence in Fed
Predicted: October 3, 2015
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Incorrect

Source: https://www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2015/10/04/432008/Ron-Paul-economic-crash-US-

Currency crisis of epic proportions will arrive soon
Predicted: June 6, 2015
Due: December 31, 2025
Unresolved

Source: https://www.cnn.com/2015/06/06/politics/rand-paul-ron-paul-election-2016

Major crash of the dollar will occur due to Federal Reserve policies
Predicted: October 17, 2013
Due: December 31, 2025
Unresolved

Source: https://www.prweb.com/releases/ron_paul_predicts_major_crash_of_the_dollar_in_exclusive_interview_with_birch_gold_group/prweb11243008.htm

Taliban will come back to power in Afghanistan despite US efforts
Predicted: June 24, 2013
Due: December 31, 2021
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: https://www.washingtontimes.com/blog/inside-politics/2013/jun/24/ron-paul-weve-learned-nothing-iraq-afghanistan/

Constitution will fail to limit government power and abuse
Predicted: November 13, 2012
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Partially Correct

Source: http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/11/ron-paul-departs-with-our-constitution-has-failed

Another war with Iran will start over nuclear weapons
Predicted: December 8, 2011
Due: December 31, 2015
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Partially Correct

Source: http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/12/ron-paul-warns-that-war-drums-are-beating-on-iran

Medicare and Social Security will become financially unsustainable
Predicted: November 16, 2011
Due: December 31, 2030
Unresolved

Source: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ron-paul-keep-medicare-and-offer-medical-savings-accounts/

Government will continue expanding despite fiscal crises
Predicted: October 16, 2011
Due: December 31, 2025
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Proposal to cut $1 trillion from federal budget

Libya will be worse off after US intervention
Predicted: August 24, 2011
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/statement-ron-paul-libya

Syrian regime change will make country worse than before
Predicted: March 1, 2011
Due: December 31, 2025
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Various congressional speeches and writings

Federal government involvement in healthcare will increase costs
Predicted: September 19, 2009
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Partially Correct

Source: https://www.npr.org/2009/09/20/113009583/ron-paul-leave-government-out-of-insurance-plan

Government healthcare will cost much more than projected
Predicted: July 19, 2009
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/henry-blodget-dr-ron-paul-healthcare-is-not-a-right-2009-7

Quantitative easing will cause massive price increases unlike any experienced in our lifetime
Predicted: April 1, 2009
Due: December 31, 2025
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Partially Correct

Source: End the Fed book publication

US dollar will lose reserve currency status
Predicted: January 1, 2009
Due: December 31, 2030
Unresolved

Source: Multiple interviews and speeches

Economic instability will continue without fundamental monetary reform
Predicted: September 23, 2008
Due: December 31, 2025
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Partially Correct

Source: https://www.npr.org/2008/09/23/94926280/ron-paul-weighs-in-on-the-financial-catastrophe

Inflation will be much higher than government reports
Predicted: January 1, 2008
Due: December 31, 2025
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Multiple speeches and writings

Domestic surveillance will be conducted on American citizens without warrants
Predicted: December 31, 2005
Due: December 31, 2013
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Congressional speeches against surveillance

Federal Reserve policies will create housing bubble that cannot last forever
Predicted: September 10, 2003
Due: December 31, 2008
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: https://www.ontheissues.org/2024/Ron_Paul_Welfare_+_Poverty.htm

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac subsidies will cause housing market crash
Predicted: September 10, 2003
Due: December 31, 2008
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Congressional testimony in House Financial Services Committee

Homeowners will experience difficulty as their equity is wiped out when housing prices fall
Predicted: September 10, 2003
Due: December 31, 2008
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Congressional speech September 10, 2003

Current credit policies will lead to a painful crash in the housing market
Predicted: September 10, 2003
Due: December 31, 2008
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Congressional speech September 10, 2003

Housing market prices will collapse due to artificial credit expansion
Predicted: September 10, 2002
Due: December 31, 2008
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Congressional Speech on September 10, 2003 to House Financial Services Committee

TSA and security theater will expand without making people safer
Predicted: November 1, 2001
Due: December 31, 2020
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Opposition to TSA creation

Government will use fear to justify expansion of surveillance powers
Predicted: October 26, 2001
Due: December 31, 2013
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Opposition to PATRIOT Act

Government surveillance programs will expand beyond constitutional limits
Predicted: October 26, 2001
Due: December 31, 2013
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Voting against PATRIOT Act

US military intervention in Middle East will lead to blowback
Predicted: September 11, 2001
Due: December 31, 2010
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: Congressional speeches on foreign policy

Iraq war will not make America safer and will cause more problems
Predicted: December 1, 1998
Due: December 31, 2010
Resolved: September 21, 2025
Correct

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wua6jIn4_QA